澳门3044永利官网经济系赵浩然副教授论文How can new quality productivity decrease carbon emission intensity? Evidence from 30 provincial regions in China，于2025年5月在《Energy》期刊发表。《Energy》为SCI一区Top期刊（IF 9.0），为我校认定的A类期刊。

1.内容摘要

This investigation first analyzed the connotation of new quality productivity, and then establish the comprehensive evaluation index system from new quality talent resources, new quality science and technology, new forms of quality industries, and new quality production method dimensions to measure the development level of new quality productivity of 30 provincial level regions in China. Based on the quantified new quality productivity development index obtained by anti-entropy method and MARCOS model, inter-provincial panel data from 2012 to 2022 are applied to empirically examine the impact of new quality productivity on carbon emission intensity. Results illustrate that the development of new quality productivity has significantly reduced regional carbon emission intensity. For control variables, the impact of government management and per capita GDP on carbon emission intensity is significantly negative. While the impact of trade openness and urbanization rate on carbon emission intensity is significantly positive. Furthermore, among the four dimensions for evaluating new quality productivity, the greatest negative force on carbon intensity comes from new quality production method, followed by new quality science and technology and new forms of quality industries. Additionally, mediating effect analysis implied that the development of new quality productivity can reduce carbon emission intensity by enhancing total factor productivity, improving energy consumption structure, and promoting rationalization of industrial structure. And industrial agglomeration has a non-linear moderating effect on the relationship between new quality productivity and carbon emissions. Therefore, regional governments should increase investment in areas related to new quality productivity, promote the high-level and rational development of industrial structure, and prompt the intelligent and digital transformation of traditional industries, thus improving carbon emission efficiency.

本文首先分析了新质生产力的内涵，接着从新质人才资源、新质科学技术、新质产业形式、新质生产方式维度建立了综合评价指标体系，并运用反熵权法和MARCOS模型量化中国30个省级地区新质生产力发展指数，基于2012年至2022年的省际面板数据，实证检验了新质生产力对碳排放强度的影响。结果表明，新质生产力的发展显著降低了区域碳排放强度。对于控制变量，政府管理和人均GDP对碳排放强度的影响显著为负。而贸易开放度和城镇化率对碳排放强度的影响是显著为正的。此外，在评估新质生产力的四个维度中，对碳强度的最大负面影响来自新质生产方式，其次是新质科学技术和新质产业形式。此外，中介效应分析表明，发展新质生产力可以通过提高全要素生产率、改善能源消费结构、促进产业结构合理化来降低碳排放强度。产业集聚对新质生产力与碳排放之间的关系具有非线性调节作用。因此，地方政府应增加对新质生产力相关领域的投资，促进产业结构的高水平合理发展，推动传统产业的智能化和数字化转型，从而提高碳排放效率。

【关键词】New quality productivity; Carbon emission intensity; Total factor productivity; Energy consumption structure; Rationalization of industrial structure; Industrial agglomeration （新质生产力；碳排放强度；全要素生产率；能源消费结构；产业结构合理化程度；产业集聚）

【论文信息】Haoran Zhao, Chuan Li, Zhen Yang, Zhuowen Zhang, Chunhua Jin, Sen Guo. How can new quality productivity decrease carbon emission intensity? Evidence from 30 provincial regions in China. Energy, 2025, 136487.

【论文链接】https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2025.136487.

2.作者简介

作者介绍：赵浩然，华北电力大学博士，澳门3044永利官网数字经济与产业发展研究团队负责人，近年来一直从事能源资源与环境管理方面的研究，主持国家自然科学基金青年项目、工信部2025年指导性软课题、3044am永利集团勤信拔尖人才项目以及勤信英才项目，参与国家重点研发计划项目、国家自然科学基金面上项目及青年项目等多项国家级项目。并以第一作者身份公开发表SCI检索论文20余篇，其中7篇发表在中科院一区TOP期刊。出版学术专著一部。入选美国斯坦福大学和爱思唯尔数据库发布的第六版《全球前2%顶尖科学家榜单》（2022单年榜单）以及北京市科学技术协会2024-2026年度青年人才托举工程。

 

(供稿：赵浩然 审核：倪渊)